Fed Officials Are Divided in Their Interest-Rate Outlook. How to Make Sense of the ‘Dot Plot’

The Federal Reserve’s quarterly Summary of Economic Projections revealed an unusually wide range of estimates for future interest rates. But don’t ignore it.
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How the Fed’s Dot Plot, Political Pressures, and Tariffs Shape Rate-Cut Expectations and Market Reactions

“The dots are not a great forecaster of future rate moves,” Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has warned, but every quarter the financial universe ponders the FOMC’s dot plot as though it were a ...