In 1986, two Dutch researchers advanced a provocative hypothesis: many societies were undergoing a “Second Demographic Transition” that would lead to durably low birth rates and high degrees of ...

This blog post quantifies impact of demographic shifts and finds that they lowered unemployment rate by approximately 0.4 ...

This paper uses a perfect foresight life cycle simulation model to examine the dynamic economic effects of baby "booms" and baby "busts" as well as the interaction of such demographic changes with ...

Rising incomes, increasing levels of education — particularly in women — and a variety of social factors contribute to determining the demographic profile of India’s youth and their role in India’s ...

Demographic Research, Vol. 27 (JULY - DECEMBER 2012), pp. 299-338 (42 pages) BACKGROUND According to classic demographic transition theory, mortality change is the key factor that triggers a decline ...

AS BIRTH ANNOUNCEMENTS go, it was momentous. On November 24th India’s government declared that the country’s fertility rate had dropped to 2.0 children per woman. That is below the replacement rate—at ...

Studies of evolutionary change require an estimate of fitness, and lifetime reproductive success is widely used for this purpose. However, many species face a trade-off between the number and quality ...

In one of my Advanced Placement classes in 2018, a freshman raised his hand to ask about the declining birthrates of white people in the United States. This occurred during a discussion about the ...